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GDACS impact assessment
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The Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System provides near real-time alerts about natural disasters around the world and tools to facilitate response coordination, including media monitoring, map catalogues and Virtual On-Site Operations Coordination Centre.

 

Summary

On 11/22/2011 6:48:17 PM UTC an earthquake of magnitude 6.6 and depth 556.7km has struck an sparsely populated area in the El Beni Province (population: 0.2 million) in Bolivia. GDACS estimates the likelihood for need of international humanitarian intervention to be low (Green alert).

This earthquake can have a low humanitarian impact since the affected region is sparsely populated and has medium resilience for natural disasters.

The nearest populated places are Isla Azul (16km), Cochabamba (17km), El Carmen (18km). It is a flat region with a maximum altitude of 262 m.

Humanitarian Impact impact  
Population resilience vul  
Tsunami probability tsunami  
Landslide probability slope  
Nuclear radiation probability radiation  

Caution: this information is based on risk models. Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.

This report was automatically updated by a computer on: 11/23/2011 3:35:30 AM UTC (8 hours 47 minutes after the event)

Explanation of alert calculation: Show


The impact model combines magnitude (M), population within 100km (P) and vulnerability/resilience ECHO average score (V) using the formula:
alertscore = max(M-4.5,0) * log10(max(P / 80000,0))^ 0.5 * max(V,0.5) ^ 1.5 / 3
The weighted product of magnitude (6.6), population (139239) and vulnerability (1.41) results in an alertscore of 0.574961159602533
Depth correction: this earthquake occurred more than 300km deep. The alertscore is set to 0.
Then alert is Red if alertscore>2, Orange if alertscore>1 and Green if alertscore

poplegend Population Density near epicenter (people/km2). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
eq_logo

Earthquake epicentre: best estimate    previous estimates: eq_icon

Earthquake Event

Geological map
Green earthquake alert Bolivia(M=6.6) potentially affecting 139000 people.

Characteristics for this report

Information source World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC)
Link to source event report (usc0006w6e)
PAGER report (c0006w6e)
Magnitude 6.6 M
Depth 556.7 km
Location

Geographic coordinates (latitude/longitude): -15.3591, -65.1254
Bolivia , El Beni Province (population: 264208).
Seismic region: Beni.

The earthquake happened in Bolivia , El Beni Province (population: 264208). . The nearest populated places are Isla Azul (16km), Cochabamba (17km), El Carmen (18km).

It is a flat region with a maximum altitude of 262 m.

Time Green earthquake alert Bolivia(M=6.6) potentially affecting 139000 people. 11/22/2011 6:48:17 PM (UTC, Universal Standard Time)
11/22/2011 2:27:47 PM (Estimated local solar time)
Tue, 11/22/2011 19:48 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)
Tue, 11/22/2011 13:48 EST (New York, Washington)
Tue, 11/22/2011 10:48 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)
Wed, 11/23/2011 02:48 AWST (Australian Western Standard Time)

Previous reports for this earthquake.

Earthquake reportTsunami reportEvent Date/TimeLat/LonMagnitudeDepth (km)SourcePublication Date/TimeDelay
Green earthquake alert Bolivia(M=6.6) potentially affecting 139000 people. 11331011/22/2011 6:48:16 PM UTC-15.47, -65.1766.7553PTWC (pt11326000)11/22/2011 6:59:37 PM UTC11min
shakemap 11331211/22/2011 6:48:15 PM UTC-15.3448, -65.10996.2533.3NEIC (usc0006w6e)11/22/2011 7:10:53 PM UTC22min
vulnerabilitylevel 11332411/22/2011 6:48:17 PM UTC-15.3591, -65.12546.6556.7NEIC (usc0006w6e)11/23/2011 3:35:30 AM UTC527min

Earthquake Impact Details

hdi

Potentially affected People

The population in the area of this earthquake if 1 people/km?. (Data source).

The earthquake occurred at 14h local time. At this time a day, more people are at work and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing office buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.

Population Data
Radius (km) Population Density (people/km?)
1
2 14 
5 65 
10 251 
20 970 
50 8978 
100 139239 
200 356286 

Damage

The affected region has low level of urban area (0%) and a high level of cultivated area (7.4%). In urban areas more damage can be expected than in cultivated or natural areas. (Data source)

Radius (km)urban areascultivated areasother
200 0% 7.46% 92.53%
100 0% 7.12% 92.87%
50 0% 4.91% 95.08%
10 0% 0.26% 99.73%

Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.

Bolivia has a GDP per capita of 955 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the medium level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of medium resilience.

Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes Bolivia a medium vulnerability.

ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for Bolivia
hpi
Overall situation
Human Development natdis
Human Poverty conflicts
Exposure to Major Disasters
Natural Disasters refugees
Conflicts food
Humanitarian effects of population movement
Refugees and IDPs under5
Health of children under five
Undernourishment phis
Mortality rates htm
Other vulnerability factors
Access to health care gdi
Prevalence of HIV, TBC and malaria gini
Gender-specific Human Development bad
Gini Index medium
Source ECHO
Key: good Bad - nodata Medium - Temperature chart currently not available. Try to refresh page. Good - Precipitation chart currently not available. Try to refresh page. No data

Exposure

Both conditions for survival and conditions for delivering aid strongly depend on the current weather and temperature. The following graphs show the current and forecast weather.

Current weather conditions and forecasts at earthquake location (lat: -15.3591 - long: -65.1254) (Data source).

Cloud cover chart currently not available. Try to refresh page.
slopelevel
nuclevel

More detailed observations at closest weather station (Jorge Henrich Arauz): WeatherByWeb - NOAA

Probability of Secondary effects

damlevel Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 2.553% and the maximum altitude is 262 m. Since this is a low slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is low. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions. More...

Critical infrastructure

The following critical infrastructure is nearby and could be affected by the earthquake:

  • envelope Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.
  • ocha Hydrodams: There are no hydrodam facilities nearby the epicenter.

The distance to nuclear installations is evaluated based on a 1999 UN dataset containing the location of nuclear plants in the world. If plants are near and the earthquake magnitude is above 6.5, the alert is set to orange. Note that the location of plants is approximate with errors of up to 100km.

Getting there and away

The nearest civilian airport (Jorge Henrich Arauz) is at 64km from the epicenter. Other airports are: Chimore (181km), San Ignacio De Moxos (70km), Capitan German Quiroga Guardia (179km), Capitan German Quiroga G (195km), Jorge Henrich Arauz (64km), Santa Ana Yacuma (184km), Santa Ana Del Yacuma (181km)

Ports nearby are: [None]

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.

 

Joint Initiative of the United Nations and the European Commission -- ocha Contact us -- Disclaimer
jrc globesec ipsc

EUROPA - ECHO - Humanitarian Aid Office of the European Commission

gdacs logo Information on this website is collected from scientific and media sources in participation with European Commission Joint Research Centre, UNOSAT and OCHA ReliefWeb.

© European Union, 2004-2011 Reproduction authorised provided the source is acknowledged, except for commercial purposes.

Financially
supported for 2008-2009 by EC MIC
impact
GDACS impact assessment
vul       

The Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System provides near real-time alerts about natural disasters around the world and tools to facilitate response coordination, including media monitoring, map catalogues and Virtual On-Site Operations Coordination Centre.

 

Summary

On 11/22/2011 6:48:17 PM UTC an earthquake of magnitude 6.6 and depth 556.7km has struck an sparsely populated area in the El Beni Province (population: 0.2 million) in Bolivia. GDACS estimates the likelihood for need of international humanitarian intervention to be low (Green alert).

This earthquake can have a low humanitarian impact since the affected region is sparsely populated and has medium resilience for natural disasters.

The nearest populated places are Isla Azul (16km), Cochabamba (17km), El Carmen (18km). It is a flat region with a maximum altitude of 262 m.

Humanitarian Impact tsunami  
Population resilience slope  
Tsunami probability radiation  
Landslide probability poplegend  
Nuclear radiation probability population map  

Caution: this information is based on risk models. Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.

This report was automatically updated by a computer on: 11/23/2011 3:35:30 AM UTC (8 hours 47 minutes after the event)

Explanation of alert calculation: Show


The impact model combines magnitude (M), population within 100km (P) and vulnerability/resilience ECHO average score (V) using the formula:
alertscore = max(M-4.5,0) * log10(max(P / 80000,0))^ 0.5 * max(V,0.5) ^ 1.5 / 3
The weighted product of magnitude (6.6), population (139239) and vulnerability (1.41) results in an alertscore of 0.574961159602533
Depth correction: this earthquake occurred more than 300km deep. The alertscore is set to 0.
Then alert is Red if alertscore>2, Orange if alertscore>1 and Green if alertscore

Population Density near epicenter (people/km2). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
eq_icon

Earthquake epicentre: best estimate geological map    previous estimates: time

Earthquake Event

Geological map
Green earthquake alert Bolivia(M=6.6) potentially affecting 139000 people.

Characteristics for this report

Information source World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC)
Link to source event report (usc0006w6e)
PAGER report (c0006w6e)
Magnitude 6.6 M
Depth 556.7 km
Location

Geographic coordinates (latitude/longitude): -15.3591, -65.1254
Bolivia , El Beni Province (population: 264208).
Seismic region: Beni.

The earthquake happened in Bolivia , El Beni Province (population: 264208). . The nearest populated places are Isla Azul (16km), Cochabamba (17km), El Carmen (18km).

It is a flat region with a maximum altitude of 262 m.

Time shakemap 11/22/2011 6:48:17 PM (UTC, Universal Standard Time)
11/22/2011 2:27:47 PM (Estimated local solar time)
Tue, 11/22/2011 19:48 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)
Tue, 11/22/2011 13:48 EST (New York, Washington)
Tue, 11/22/2011 10:48 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)
Wed, 11/23/2011 02:48 AWST (Australian Western Standard Time)

Previous reports for this earthquake.

Earthquake reportTsunami reportEvent Date/TimeLat/LonMagnitudeDepth (km)SourcePublication Date/TimeDelay
vulnerabilitylevel 11331011/22/2011 6:48:16 PM UTC-15.47, -65.1766.7553PTWC (pt11326000)11/22/2011 6:59:37 PM UTC11min
hdi 11331211/22/2011 6:48:15 PM UTC-15.3448, -65.10996.2533.3NEIC (usc0006w6e)11/22/2011 7:10:53 PM UTC22min
hpi 11332411/22/2011 6:48:17 PM UTC-15.3591, -65.12546.6556.7NEIC (usc0006w6e)11/23/2011 3:35:30 AM UTC527min

Earthquake Impact Details

natdis

Potentially affected People

The population in the area of this earthquake if 1 people/km?. (Data source).

The earthquake occurred at 14h local time. At this time a day, more people are at work and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing office buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.

Population Data
Radius (km) Population Density (people/km?)
1
2 14 
5 65 
10 251 
20 970 
50 8978 
100 139239 
200 356286 

Damage

The affected region has low level of urban area (0%) and a high level of cultivated area (7.4%). In urban areas more damage can be expected than in cultivated or natural areas. (Data source)

Radius (km)urban areascultivated areasother
200 0% 7.46% 92.53%
100 0% 7.12% 92.87%
50 0% 4.91% 95.08%
10 0% 0.26% 99.73%

Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.

Bolivia has a GDP per capita of 955 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the medium level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of medium resilience.

Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes Bolivia a medium vulnerability.

ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for Bolivia
conflicts
Overall situation
Human Development refugees
Human Poverty food
Exposure to Major Disasters
Natural Disasters under5
Conflicts phis
Humanitarian effects of population movement
Refugees and IDPs htm
Health of children under five
Undernourishment gdi
Mortality rates gini
Other vulnerability factors
Access to health care bad
Prevalence of HIV, TBC and malaria medium
Gender-specific Human Development good
Gini Index nodata
Source ECHO
Key: Temperature chart currently not available. Try to refresh page. Bad - Precipitation chart currently not available. Try to refresh page. Medium - Cloud cover chart currently not available. Try to refresh page. Good - slopelevel No data

Exposure

Both conditions for survival and conditions for delivering aid strongly depend on the current weather and temperature. The following graphs show the current and forecast weather.

Current weather conditions and forecasts at earthquake location (lat: -15.3591 - long: -65.1254) (Data source).

nuclevel
damlevel
envelope

More detailed observations at closest weather station (Jorge Henrich Arauz): WeatherByWeb - NOAA

Probability of Secondary effects

ocha Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 2.553% and the maximum altitude is 262 m. Since this is a low slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is low. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions. More...

Critical infrastructure

The following critical infrastructure is nearby and could be affected by the earthquake:

  • ocha Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.
  • jrc Hydrodams: There are no hydrodam facilities nearby the epicenter.

The distance to nuclear installations is evaluated based on a 1999 UN dataset containing the location of nuclear plants in the world. If plants are near and the earthquake magnitude is above 6.5, the alert is set to orange. Note that the location of plants is approximate with errors of up to 100km.

Getting there and away

The nearest civilian airport (Jorge Henrich Arauz) is at 64km from the epicenter. Other airports are: Chimore (181km), San Ignacio De Moxos (70km), Capitan German Quiroga Guardia (179km), Capitan German Quiroga G (195km), Jorge Henrich Arauz (64km), Santa Ana Yacuma (184km), Santa Ana Del Yacuma (181km)

Ports nearby are: [None]

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.

 

Joint Initiative of the United Nations and the European Commission -- globesec Contact us -- Disclaimer
ochaocha jrc

globesec

ipsc Information on this website is collected from scientific and media sources in participation with European Commission Joint Research Centre, UNOSAT and OCHA ReliefWeb.

© European Union, 2004-2011 Reproduction authorised provided the source is acknowledged, except for commercial purposes.

Financially
supported for 2008-2009 by EC MIC
EUROPA - ECHO - Humanitarian Aid Office of the European Commission
...

Read more http://w3.gdacs.org/reports.asp?ID=113324

 
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